送交者: Enlighten 于 2005-11-21, 11:39:28:

回答: 从新到病人反映的术后情况看，我估计肖传国的病例数据严重造假 由 炎阳 于 2005-11-21, 09:57:18:

他的总成功率是55/62=88.7%，
(见http://www.xys.org/xys/ebooks/others/science/dajia6/xiaochuanguo31.txt)。

那么随机抽8个案例，8个都是失败的几率有多大？
(1-88.7%)^8=2.64*10^-8=26.4/1 billion=2.64/亿

8个人里无一成功，即使不是完全随机的SAMPLE(比如这8个都是他早期的病例，技术
还在不成熟阶段)，也是个失败率极高的表现。

• it seems that some enemies of Xiao had organized those disgruntled - 秦州刺史 (337 bytes) 2005-11-21, 12:47:12
• Xiao is faking data, 862-55=7, how can he claim successful rate is 55/62. - 秦州刺史 (0 bytes) 2005-11-21, 12:32:32
  • I mean "8 is greater than (62-55) =7 already." - 秦州刺史 (0 bytes) 2005-11-21, 12:34:19
    • 62 and 8 might not be in the same period. - Enlighten (92 bytes) 2005-11-21, 14:23:48
      • read patient's letter again, those "8" are in one batch, they all - 秦州刺史 (137 bytes) 2005-11-21, 14:52:59
    • hmm, I didn't see this. I thought eight is 62-55. :-) - xj (0 bytes) 2005-11-21, 12:42:46
      • test - nan (0 bytes) 2005-11-21, 13:06:11
• 不对。这８例不是随机的。 - xj (18 bytes) 2005-11-21, 11:53:37

加跟贴