送交者: nm 于 2005-11-24, 04:02:03:
回答: 他演讲的pdf只提到中国自七月以来有100以上的疑似病例 由 seen 于 2005-11-24, 03:15:37:
说契丹政府不是蓄意欺骗。而是地方的问题；marburg会议现场的记者误会。摘录一段，用软件翻译的。田代在亚洲病毒学界身份好像很高吧。
Well-known bird flu are "the point of the iceberg"
the Japanese virus researcher Masato Tashiro are convinced of the fact that into Asia only a fraction of the cases of bird flu comes to the light. All experts made themselves concerns to only know and not know "the point of the iceberg" exactly, what hides itself under it, the Virologe said of Japanese Nationalinstitut for infections. Tashiro confirmed that according to him an available estimation from China there already 300 humans at bird flu had died. Further 3,000 was because of the suspicion on an infection in quarantine. Its source is reliably, "however to examine can we such data at present", did not say it. Also it is not clear whether it always concerns the dangerous type of virus H5N1. The Japanese had this for the first time on a congress in Marburg admits made and thus in excitement shifted the professional world.
The World Health Organization (WHO) registered only 130 cases so far in Asia altogether, under it 67 dead ones.
To Tashiros data the WHO wanted officially no position to take. "he is a highly outstanding scientist, who works, said for the WHO on free basis" speakers thickly Thompson the trade paper in Geneva. It praised the information politics of China at the same time. It cannot exclude however that it gives delays at the information flow from the provinces to Peking. With the crisis around the lung illness Sars 2003 had back held long relevant information for China more difficult and had made so the international reaction. From this China learned however, said Thompson.
Tashiro called German medium reports, in which he is quoted with criticism at China, misleading. "I do not believe that of China hides government cases intentionally. It is unfair to criticize the Chinese government. The information does not arrive simply with it." So the signalling system for normal flu is only in the structure.
The Asia speaker of the WHO in Manila, Peter Cordingeley, said with view of China: "the more deeply one into the province comes, the unclear becomes the situation." Even information, which arrives in the capital, must take only bureaucratic hurdles there. Like that co-operation lacking between agriculture and Ministry of Health is a very large problem, says Analyst Andy Rothman of the Investmentfirma CLSA in Schanghai. "the second and still larger bureaucratic hurdle however is to be announced that local official one on it are not sharp, to the centre government bad message."
http://www.handelsblatt.com/pshb?fn=tt&sfn=go&id=1144558
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18-19Nov in Marburg:
RNA viruses shuttling between animal and man
http://www.med.uni-marburg.de/stpg/ukm/lt/hygiene/RNA_Virus_Symposium_2005_txt.html